The Kansas City Chiefs will beat the San Francisco 49ers 35-31 in Super Bowl LIV–at least according to Madden NFL 20.
The video game’s annual Big Game simulation has correctly predicted 10 out of the last 16 Super Bowl outcomes, though, as Forbes notes, it hasn’t been doing so well in recent years, getting three of its last four Super Bowl predictions wrong.
This year, Madden 20 predicts that Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes will be crowned Super Bowl MVP after throwing for 392 passing yards and four touchdowns to set the record for most passing touchdowns in a single post season. It’s worth noting that Mahomes is also the video game’s cover star and the current point spread favors the Chiefs slightly at -1.5 over the 49ers.
The simulation also predicts that 49ers Jimmy Garoppolo will put up 254 yards and two touchdowns, while Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce will grab 10 receptions for 102 yards and put up one touchdown.
Forbes has all off the past Madden NFL predictions, so you can see for yourself how accurate they’ve been over the the past 16 years:
Super Bowl LIII (Wrong)
- Madden: Rams 30, Patriots 27
- Actual Score: Patriots 13, Rams 3
Super Bowl LII (Wrong)
- Madden: Patriots 24, Eagles 20
- Actual Score: Eagles 41, Patriots 33
Super Bowl LI (Correct)
- Madden: Patriots 27, Falcons 24
- Actual Score: Patriots 34, Falcons 28
Super Bowl L (Wrong)
- Madden: Panthers 24, Broncos 20
- Actual Score: Broncos 24, Panthers 10
Super Bowl XLIX (Correct)
- Madden: Patriots 28, Seahawks 24
- Actual Score: Patriots 28, Seahawks 24
Super Bowl XLVIII (Wrong)
- Madden: Broncos 31, Seahawks, 28
- Actual score: Seahawks 43, Broncos, 8
Super Bowl XLVII (Correct)
- Madden: Ravens, 27, 49ers, 24
- Actual score: Ravens, 34, 49ers, 31
Super Bowl XLVI (Correct)
- Madden: Giants, 27, Patriots, 24
- Actual score: Giants, 21, Patriots, 17
Super Bowl XLV (Wrong)
- Madden: Steelers, 24, Packers, 20
- Actual score: Packers, 31, Steelers, 25
Super Bowl XLIV (Correct)
- Madden: Saints 35, Colts 31
- Actual score: Saints 31, Colts 17
Super Bowl XLIII (Correct)
- Madden: Steelers 28, Cardinals 24
- Actual score: Steelers 27, Cardinals 23
Super Bowl XLII (Wrong)
- Madden: Patriots 38, Giants 30
- Actual score: Giants 17, Patriots 14
Super Bowl XLI (Correct)
- Madden: Colts 38, Bears 27
- Actual score: Colts 29, Bears 17
Super Bowl XL (Correct)
- Madden: Steelers 24, Seahawks 19
- Actual score: Steelers 21, Seahawks 10
Super Bowl XXXIX (Correct)
- Madden: Patriots 47, Eagles 31
- Actual score: Patriots 24, Eagles 21
Super Bowl XXXVIII (Correct)
- Madden: Patriots 23, Panthers 20
- Actual Score: Patriots 32, Panthers 29